Vivek K. Arora

Chercheur scientifique - Cycles terrestres du carbone et de l’azote; représentation des cycles biogéochimiques terrestres dans des modèles du système terrestre; interactions carbone-climat; processus hydrologiques dans des modèles climatiques

Environnement et Changement climatique Canada

Recherche et / ou projets en cours

Élaboration, application et exécution des modèles d’écosystèmes terrestres et des modèles hydrologiques de surface dans le cadre des modèles du système terrestre

Application des modèles de système terrestre pour étudier les scénarios d'émissions futures et leurs effets sur la concentration de CO2 atmosphérique
Utilisation des modèles du système terrestre pour faire des projections quantitatives de l'état futur de la biosphère terrestre
Évaluation des rétroactions entre le climat et la biosphère terrestre
Utilisation de modèles climatiques pour étudier les effets des changements climatiques sur l'hydrologie

Activités professionnelles / intérêts

Membre de l'American Geophysical Union

Encadrement d’étudiants du troisième cycle au Centre pour l'étude et la simulation du climat à l'échelle régionale (Centre ESCER), Université du Québec à Montréal. Conférenciers invités pour des cours de troisième cycle (sur la biosphère terrestre et ses interactions avec le système climatique) à l'École des sciences terrestres et maritimes, Université de Victoria.

Auteur ayant contribué au chapitre 7 (Liaisons entre les changements du système climatique et la biogéochimie) du quatrième rapport d'évaluation du Groupe d’experts intergouvernemental sur l’évolution du climat.

Auteur ayant contribué au chapitre 6 (Carbone et autres cycles biogéochimiques) du cinquième rapport d'évaluation du Groupe d’experts intergouvernemental sur l’évolution du climat.

L'auteur principal du chapitre 8 (Modélisation de la réponse du climat au méthane) dans la surveillance de l'Arctique et du Programme d'évaluation rapport intitulé Évaluation AMAP des 2015: Le rôle du méthane dans le forçage du climat de l'Arctique.

Prix et études

M.Sc. (hydrologie), Université de l'Ireland, 1993

Ph.D. (Ingénierie de l'environnement), Université de Melbourne (Australie) 1997

Bourse pour le programme de maîtrise ès sciences en hydrologie du gouvernement irlandais (octobre 1992 à décembre 1993)

Bourse d’études supérieures au niveau du doctorat de l’Université de Melbourne (février 1994 à juillet 1997)

Bourse de recherche scientifique, Conseil de recherches en sciences naturelles et en génie du Canada, décembre 1997 à décembre 1999

Prix Équinoxe d’initiative et de contribution exceptionnelle à la Direction de la recherche climatique, Environnement Canada, printemps 1998

Médaille du jubilé de diamant de la Reine Elizabeth II pour contribution au service du Canada, février 2013

Principales publications

2021

Winkler, A. J., Myneni, R. B., Hannart, A., Sitch, S., Haverd, V., Lombardozzi, D., Arora, V. K., et al. (2021) Slowdown of the greening trend in natural vegetation with further rise in atmospheric CO2, Biogeosciences, 18, 4985–5010, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-4985-2021.
MacBean. N., Scott, R. L., Biederman, J. A., Peylin P., Kolb, T., Litvak, M. E., Krishnan, P., Meyers, T. P., Arora, V. K., Bastrikov, V., Goll, D., Lombardozzi, D. L., Nabel, J. E. M. S., Pongratz, J., Sitch, S., Walker, A. P., Zaehle, S., and Moore, D., J. P: Dynamic global vegetation models underestimate net CO2 flux mean and inter-annual variability in dryland ecosystems, Environ. Res. Lett., 16(9), 094023, 2021.
Blyth, E.M., Arora, V.K., Clark, D.B. et al. Advances in Land Surface Modelling. Curr Clim Change Rep 7, 45–71 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s40641-021-00171-5.
Seiler, C., Melton, J. R., Arora, V. K., and Wang, L. (2021) CLASSIC v1.0: the open-source community successor to the Canadian Land Surface Scheme (CLASS) and the Canadian Terrestrial Ecosystem Model (CTEM) – Part 2: Global benchmarking, Geosci. Model Dev., 14, 2371–2417, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-2371-2021.
Liddicoat, S. K., Wiltshire, A. J., Jones, C. D., Arora, V. K., Brovkin, V., Cadule, P., Hajima, T., Lawrence, D. M., Pongratz, J., Schwinger, J., Séférian, R., Tjiputra, J. F., & Ziehn, T. (2021). Compatible Fossil Fuel CO2 Emissions in the CMIP6 Earth System Models’ Historical and Shared Socioeconomic Pathway Experiments of the Twenty-First Century, Journal of Climate, 34(8), 2853-2875.
Asaadi, A. and Arora, V. K. (2021) Implementation of nitrogen cycle in the CLASSIC land model, Biogeosciences, 18, 669–706, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-669-2021.

2020

O'Sullivan, M., Smith, W. K., Sitch, S., Friedlingstein, P., Arora, V. K., Haverd, V., et al. (2020). Climate-driven variability and trends in plant productivity over recent decades based on three global products. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 34, e2020GB006613. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GB006613.
Boysen, L. R., Brovkin, V., Pongratz, J., Lawrence, D. M., Lawrence, P., Vuichard, N., Peylin, P., Liddicoat, S., Hajima, T., Zhang, Y., Rocher, M., Delire, C., Séférian, R., Arora, V. K., Nieradzik, L., Anthoni, P., Thiery, W., Laguë, M. M., Lawrence, D., and Lo, M.-H.: Global climate response to idealized deforestation in CMIP6 models, Biogeosciences, 17, 5615–5638, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-17-5615-2020, 2020.
Tokarska, K.B., Arora, V. K , Gillett, N.P. , Lehner, F. , Rogelj, J., Schleussner, C.-F.,Seferian, R., and Knutti, R.: Uncertainty in carbon budget estimates due to internal climate variability, Environ. Res. Lett. 15 (10) 10406.
Melton, J. R., Arora, V. K., Wisernig-Cojoc, E., Seiler, C., Fortier, M., Chan, E., and Teckentrup, L.: CLASSIC v1.0: the open-source community successor to the Canadian Land Surface Scheme (CLASS) and the Canadian Terrestrial Ecosystem Model (CTEM) – Part 1: Model framework and site-level performance, Geosci. Model Dev., 13, 2825–2850, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-2825-2020, 2020
Friedlingstein, P., O'Sullivan, M., Jones, M. W., Andrew, R. M., Hauck, J., Olsen, A., Peters, G. P., Peters, W., Pongratz, J., Sitch, S., Le Quéré, C., Canadell, J. G., Ciais, P., Jackson, R. B., Alin, S., Aragão, L. E. O. C., Arneth, A., Arora, V., Bates, N. R., Becker, M., Benoit-Cattin, A., Bittig, H. C., Bopp, L., Bultan, S., Chandra, N., Chevallier, F., Chini, L. P., Evans, W., Florentie, L., Forster, P. M., Gasser, T., Gehlen, M., Gilfillan, D., Gkritzalis, T., Gregor, L., Gruber, N., Harris, I., Hartung, K., Haverd, V., Houghton, R. A., Ilyina, T., Jain, A. K., Joetzjer, E., Kadono, K., Kato, E., Kitidis, V., Korsbakken, J. I., Landschützer, P., Lefèvre, N., Lenton, A., Lienert, S., Liu, Z., Lombardozzi, D., Marland, G., Metzl, N., Munro, D. R., Nabel, J. E. M. S., Nakaoka, S.-I., Niwa, Y., O'Brien, K., Ono, T., Palmer, P. I., Pierrot, D., Poulter, B., Resplandy, L., Robertson, E., Rödenbeck, C., Schwinger, J., Séférian, R., Skjelvan, I., Smith, A. J. P., Sutton, A. J., Tanhua, T., Tans, P. P., Tian, H., Tilbrook, B., van der Werf, G., Vuichard, N., Walker, A. P., Wanninkhof, R., Watson, A. J., Willis, D., Wiltshire, A. J., Yuan, W., Yue, X., and Zaehle, S.: Global Carbon Budget 2020, Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 12, 3269–3340, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-12-3269-2020, 2020.
Saunois, M., Stavert, A. R., Poulter, B., Bousquet, P., Canadell, J. G., Jackson, R. B., Raymond, P. A., Dlugokencky, E. J., Houweling, S., Patra, P. K., Ciais, P., Arora, V. K., Bastviken, D., Bergamaschi, P., Blake, D. R., Brailsford, G., Bruhwiler, L., Carlson, K. M., Carrol, M., Castaldi, S., Chandra, N., Crevoisier, C., Crill, P. M., Covey, K., Curry, C. L., Etiope, G., Frankenberg, C., Gedney, N., Hegglin, M. I., Höglund-Isaksson, L., Hugelius, G., Ishizawa, M., Ito, A., Janssens-Maenhout, G., Jensen, K. M., Joos, F., Kleinen, T., Krummel, P. B., Langenfelds, R. L., Laruelle, G. G., Liu, L., Machida, T., Maksyutov, S., McDonald, K. C., McNorton, J., Miller, P. A., Melton, J. R., Morino, I., Müller, J., Murguia-Flores, F., Naik, V., Niwa, Y., Noce, S., O'Doherty, S., Parker, R. J., Peng, C., Peng, S., Peters, G. P., Prigent, C., Prinn, R., Ramonet, M., Regnier, P., Riley, W. J., Rosentreter, J. A., Segers, A., Simpson, I. J., Shi, H., Smith, S. J., Steele, L. P., Thornton, B. F., Tian, H., Tohjima, Y., Tubiello, F. N., Tsuruta, A., Viovy, N., Voulgarakis, A., Weber, T. S., van Weele, M., van der Werf, G. R., Weiss, R. F., Worthy, D., Wunch, D., Yin, Y., Yoshida, Y., Zhang, W., Zhang, Z., Zhao, Y., Zheng, B., Zhu, Q., Zhu, Q., and Zhuang, Q.: The Global Methane Budget 2000–2017, Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 12, 1561–1623, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-12-1561-2020, 2020.
Wang, K., Wang, Y., Wang, X., He, Y., Li, X., Keeling, R.F., Ciais, P., Heimann, M., Peng, S., Chevallier, F., Friedlingstein, P., Sitch, S., Buermann, W., Arora, V.K., Haverd, V., Jain, A.K., Kato, E., Lienert, S., Lombardozzi, D., Nabel, J.E., Poulter, B., Vuichard, N., Wiltshire, A., Zeng, N., Zhu, D. and Piao, S. (2020), Causes of slowing‐down seasonal CO2 amplitude at Mauna Loa. Glob Change Biology, 26: 4462– 4477. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15162.
Yang, H., Ciais, P., Santoro, M., Huang, Y., Li, W., Wang, Y., Bastos, A., Goll, D., Arneth, A., Anthoni, P., Arora, V.K., Friedlingstein, P., Harverd, V., Joetzjer, E., Kautz, M., Lienert, S., Nabel, J. E. M. S., O'Sullivan, M., Sitch, S., Vuichard, N., Wiltshire, A., and Zhu , D. Comparison of forest above‐ground biomass from dynamic global vegetation models with spatially explicit remotely sensed observation‐based estimates. Glob Change Biology, 2020, 26: 3997– 4012. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15117.
MacDougall, A. H., Frölicher, T. L., Jones, C. D., Rogelj, J., Matthews, H. D., Zickfeld, K., Arora, V. K., Barrett, N. J., Brovkin, V., Burger, F. A., Eby, M., Eliseev, A. V., Hajima, T., Holden, P. B., Jeltsch-Thömmes, A., Koven, C., Menviel, L., Michou, M., Mokhov, I. I., Oka, A., Schwinger, J., Séférian, R., Shaffer, G., Sokolov, A., Tachiiri, K., Tjiputra, J., Wiltshire, A., and Ziehn, T.: Is there warming in the pipeline? A multi-model analysis of the zero emission commitment from CO2, Biogeosciences, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-2019-492, accepted, 2020.
Arora, V. K., Katavouta, A., Williams, R. G., Jones, C. D., Brovkin, V., Friedlingstein, P., Schwinger, J., Bopp, L., Boucher, O., Cadule, P., Chamberlain, M. A., Christian, J. R., Delire, C., Fisher, R. A., Hajima, T., Ilyina, T., Joetzjer, E., Kawamiya, M., Koven, C., Krasting, J., Law, R. M., Lawrence, D. M., Lenton, A., Lindsay, K., Pongratz, J., Raddatz, T., Séférian, R., Tachiiri, K., Tjiputra, J. F., Wiltshire, A., Wu, T., and Ziehn, T.: Carbon-concentration and carbon-climate feedbacks in CMIP6 models, and their comparison to CMIP5 models, Biogeosciences, 17, 4173–4222, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-17-4173-2020, 2020. .
Forzieri, G., Miralles, D.G., Ciais, P., Alkama, R., Ryu, Y., Duveiller, G., Zhang, K., Robertson, E., Kautz, M., Martens, B., Jiang, C., Arneth, A., Georgievski, G., Li, W., Ceccherini, G., Anthoni, P., Lawrence, P., Wiltshire, A., Pongratz, J., Piao, S., Sitch, S., Goll, D.S., Arora, V.K., Lienert, S., Lombardozzi, D., Kato, E., Nabel, J. E. M. S., Tian, H., Friedlingstein, P., and Cescatti, A. Increased control of vegetation on global terrestrial energy fluxes. Nat. Clim. Chang. 10, 356–362 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-020-0717-0.
Pan, S., Pan, N., Tian, H., Friedlingstein, P., Sitch, S., Shi, H., Arora, V. K., Haverd, V., Jain, A. K., Kato, E., Lienert, S., Lombardozzi, D., Nabel, J. E. M. S., Ottlé, C., Poulter, B., Zaehle, S., and Running, S. W.: Evaluation of global terrestrial evapotranspiration using state-of-the-art approaches in remote sensing, machine learning and land surface modeling, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 1485–1509, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-1485-2020, 2020.

2019

Christensen, T.R., Arora, V.K., Gauss, M., Höglund-Isaksson, L., and Parmentier. F.-J. W.. Tracing the climate signal: mitigation of anthropogenic methane emissions can outweigh a large Arctic natural emission increase. Scientific Reports, 9, 1146 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-37719-9.
Saunois, M., Stavert, A. R., Poulter, B., Bousquet, P., Canadell, J. G., Jackson, R. B., Raymond, P. A., Dlugokencky, E. J., Houweling, S., Patra, P. K., Ciais, P., Arora, V. K., Bastviken, D., Bergamaschi, P., Blake, D. R., Brailsford, G., Bruhwiler, L., Carlson, K. M., Carrol, M., Castaldi, S., Chandra, N., Crevoisier, C., Crill, P. M., Covey, K., Curry, C. L., Etiope, G., Frankenberg, C., Gedney, N., Hegglin, M. I., Höglund-Isaksson, L., Hugelius, G., Ishizawa, M., Ito, A., Janssens-Maenhout, G., Jensen, K. M., Joos, F., Kleinen, T., Krummel, P. B., Langenfelds, R. L., Laruelle, G. G., Liu, L., Machida, T., Maksyutov, S., McDonald, K. C., McNorton, J., Miller, P. A., Melton, J. R., Morino, I., Müller, J., Murgia-Flores, F., Naik, V., Niwa, Y., Noce, S., O'Doherty, S., Parker, R. J., Peng, C., Peng, S., Peters, G. P., Prigent, C., Prinn, R., Ramonet, M., Regnier, P., Riley, W. J., Rosentreter, J. A., Segers, A., Simpson, I. J., Shi, H., Smith, S. J., Steele, L. P., Thornton, B. F., Tian, H., Tohjima, Y., Tubiello, F. N., Tsuruta, A., Viovy, N., Voulgarakis, A., Weber, T. S., van Weele, M., van der Werf, G. R., Weiss, R. F., Worthy, D., Wunch, D., Yin, Y., Yoshida, Y., Zhang, W., Zhang, Z., Zhao, Y., Zheng, B., Zhu, Q., Zhu, Q., and Zhuang, Q.: The Global Methane Budget 2000–2017, Earth Syst. Sci. Data Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2019-128, in review, 2019
Melton, J. R., Arora, V. K., Wisernig-Cojoc, E., Seiler, C., Fortier, M., Chan, E., and Teckentrup, L.: CLASSIC v1.0: the open-source community successor to the Canadian Land Surface Scheme (CLASS) and the Canadian Terrestrial Ecosystem Model (CTEM) – Part 1: Model framework and site-level performance, Geosci. Model Dev. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2019-329, in review, 2019.
Swart, N. C., Cole, J. N. S., Kharin, V. V., Lazare, M., Scinocca, J. F., Gillett, N. P., Anstey, J., Arora, V., Christian, J. R., Hanna, S., Jiao, Y., Lee, W. G., Majaess, F., Saenko, O. A., Seiler, C., Seinen, C., Shao, A., Sigmond, M., Solheim, L., von Salzen, K., Yang, D., and Winter, B.: The Canadian Earth System Model version 5 (CanESM5.0.3), Geosci. Model Dev., 12, 4823–4873, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-4823-2019, 2019.

2018

Le Quéré, C., Andrew, R. M., Friedlingstein, P., Sitch, S., Hauck, J., Pongratz, J., Pickers, P. A., Korsbakken, J. I., Peters, G. P., Canadell, J. G., Arneth, A., Arora, V. K., Barbero, L., Bastos, A., Bopp, L., Chevallier, F., Chini, L. P., Ciais, P., Doney, S. C., Gkritzalis, T., Goll, D. S., Harris, I., Haverd, V., Hoffman, F. M., Hoppema, M., Houghton, R. A., Hurtt, G., Ilyina, T., Jain, A. K., Johannessen, T., Jones, C. D., Kato, E., Keeling, R. F., Goldewijk, K. K., Landschützer, P., Lefèvre, N., Lienert, S., Liu, Z., Lombardozzi, D., Metzl, N., Munro, D. R., Nabel, J. E. M. S., Nakaoka, S.-I., Neill, C., Olsen, A., Ono, T., Patra, P., Peregon, A., Peters, W., Peylin, P., Pfeil, B., Pierrot, D., Poulter, B., Rehder, G., Resplandy, L., Robertson, E., Rocher, M., Rödenbeck, C., Schuster, U., Schwinger, J., Séférian, R., Skjelvan, I., Steinhoff, T., Sutton, A., Tans, P. P., Tian, H., Tilbrook, B., Tubiello, F. N., van der Laan-Luijkx, I. T., van der Werf, G. R., Viovy, N., Walker, A. P., Wiltshire, A. J., Wright, R., Zaehle, S., and Zheng, B.: Global Carbon Budget 2018, Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 10, 2141-2194, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-10-2141-2018, 2018.
Asaadi, A., Arora, V. K., Melton, J. R., and Bartlett, P.: An improved parameterization of leaf area index (LAI) seasonality in the Canadian Land Surface Scheme (CLASS) and Canadian Terrestrial Ecosystem Model (CTEM) modelling framework, Biogeosciences, 15, 6885-6907, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-15-6885-2018, 2018.
A. Bastos, P. Friedlingstein, S. Sitch, C. Chen, A. Mialon , J.-P. Wigneron, V.K. Arora, P.R. Briggs, J.G. Canadell, P. Ciais, F. Chevallier, L. Cheng, C. Delire, V. Haverd, A.K. Jain, F. Joos, E. Kato, S. Lienert, D. Lombardozzi, J. R. Melton, R. Myneni, J. E.M.S. Nabel, J. Pongratz, B. Poulter, C. Rödenbeck, R. Séférian, H. Tian, C. van Eck, N. Viovy, N. Vuichard, A.P. Walker , A. Wiltshire, J. Yang, S. Zaehle, N. Zeng, and D. Zhu: Impact of the 2015/2016 El Niño on the terrestrial carbon cycle constrained by bottom-up and top-down approaches, . Phil. Trans. R. Soc. B, 373 (1760), https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2017.0304, 2018.
Byrne, B.,Wunch, D.,Jones, D.B.A., Strong, K., Deng, F., Baker, I., Köhler, P., Frankenberg, C., Joiner, J., Arora, V. K., Badawy, B., Harper, A. B., Warneke, T., Petri, C., Kivi, R., and Roehl, C. M.: Evaluating GPP and respiration estimates over northern midlatitude ecosystems using solar-induced fluorescence and atmospheric CO2 measurements. Journal of Geophysical Research:Biogeosciences,123, 2976–2997. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JG004472, 2018.
Arora, V. K., Melton, J. R., and Plummer, D.: An assessment of natural methane fluxes simulated by the CLASS-CTEM model, Biogeosciences, 15, 4683-4709, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-15-4683-2018, 2018.
Arora, V.K., Melton, J. R.: Reduction in global area burned and wildfire emissions since 1930s enhances carbon uptake by land, Nature Comm., 9, Article number: 1326, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-03838-0, 2018.
L. Li, Y. Wang, V. K. Arora, D. Eamus, H. Shi, J. Li, L. Cheng, J. Cleverly, T. Hajimah, D. Ji, C. Jones, M. Kawamiya, W. Li, J. Tjiputra, A. Wiltshire, L. Zhang, and Q. Yu: Evaluating Global Land Surface Models in CMIP5: Analysis of Ecosystem Water- and Light-Use Efficiencies and Rainfall Partitioning, J. Clim., 31, 2995-3008, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0177.1, 2018.
K. B. Tokarska, N. P. Gillett, V. K. Arora, W. G. Lee, K. Zickfeld, The influence of non-CO2 forcings on cumulative carbon emissions budgets, Environ. Res. Lett., 13, 034039, 2018.
Le Quéré, C., Andrew, R. M., Friedlingstein, P., Sitch, S., Pongratz, J., Manning, A. C., Korsbakken, J. I., Peters, G. P., Canadell, J. G., Jackson, R. B., Boden, T. A., Tans, P. P., Andrews, O. D., Arora, V. K., Bakker, D. C. E., Barbero, L., Becker, M., Betts, R. A., Bopp, L., Chevallier, F., Chini, L. P., Ciais, P., Cosca, C. E., Cross, J., Currie, K., Gasser, T., Harris, I., Hauck, J., Haverd, V., Houghton, R. A., Hunt, C. W., Hurtt, G., Ilyina, T., Jain, A. K., Kato, E., Kautz, M., Keeling, R. F., Klein Goldewijk, K., Körtzinger, A., Landschützer, P., Lefèvre, N., Lenton, A., Lienert, S., Lima, I., Lombardozzi, D., Metzl, N., Millero, F., Monteiro, P. M. S., Munro, D. R., Nabel, J. E. M. S., Nakaoka, S.-I., Nojiri, Y., Padin, X. A., Peregon, A., Pfeil, B., Pierrot, D., Poulter, B., Rehder, G., Reimer, J., Rödenbeck, C., Schwinger, J., Séférian, R., Skjelvan, I., Stocker, B. D., Tian, H., Tilbrook, B., Tubiello, F. N., van der Laan-Luijkx, I. T., van der Werf, G. R., van Heuven, S., Viovy, N., Vuichard, N., Walker, A. P., Watson, A. J., Wiltshire, A. J., Zaehle, S., and Zhu, D.: Global Carbon Budget 2017, Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 10, 405-448, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-10-405-2018, 2018.
Teufel, B., Sushama, L., Arora, V.K., Verseghy, D.: Impact of dynamic vegetation phenology on the simulated pan-Arctic land surface state, Climate Dynamics, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4142-2, 2018
Badawy, B., Polavarapu, S., Jones, D. B. A., Deng, F., Neish, M., Melton, J. R., Nassar, R., and Arora, V. K.: Coupling the Canadian Terrestrial Ecosystem Model (CTEM v. 2.0) to Environment and Climate Change Canada's greenhouse gas forecast model (v.107-glb), Geosci. Model Dev., 11, 631-663, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-631-2018, 2018.

2017

Poulter, B., Bousquet, P., Canadell, J., Ciais, P., Peregon, A., Saunois, M., Arora, V. K., Beerling, D., Brovkin, V., Jones, C., Joos, F., Gedney, N., Ito, A., Kleinen, T., Koven, C., MacDonald, K., Melton, J., Peng, C., Peng, S., Schroder, R., Prigent, C., Riley, B., Saito, M., Spahni, R., Tian, H., Taylor, L., Viovy, N., Wilton, D., Wiltshire, A., Xu, X., and Zhang, Z.: Global wetland contribution to 2000–2012 atmospheric methane growth rate dynamics, Environ. Res. Lett., 12, 094013, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa8391, 2017.
Saunois, M., Bousquet, P., Poulter, B., Peregon, A., Ciais, P., Canadell, J. G., Dlugokencky, E. J., Etiope, G., Bastviken, D., Houweling, S., Janssens-Maenhout, G., Tubiello, F. N., Castaldi, S., Jackson, R. B., Alexe, M., Arora, V. K., Beerling, D. J., Bergamaschi, P., Blake, D. R., Brailsford, G., Bruhwiler, L., Crevoisier, C., Crill, P., Covey, K., Frankenberg, C., Gedney, N., Höglund-Isaksson, L., Ishizawa, M., Ito, A., Joos, F., Kim, H.-S., Kleinen, T., Krummel, P., Lamarque, J.-F., Langenfelds, R., Locatelli, R., Machida, T., Maksyutov, S., Melton, J. R., Morino, I., Naik, V., O'Doherty, S., Parmentier, F.-J. W., Patra, P. K., Peng, C., Peng, S., Peters, G. P., Pison, I., Prinn, R., Ramonet, M., Riley, W. J., Saito, M., Santini, M., Schroeder, R., Simpson, I. J., Spahni, R., Takizawa, A., Thornton, B. F., Tian, H., Tohjima, Y., Viovy, N., Voulgarakis, A., Weiss, R., Wilton, D. J., Wiltshire, A., Worthy, D., Wunch, D., Xu, X., Yoshida, Y., Zhang, B., Zhang, Z., and Zhu, Q.: Variability and quasi-decadal changes in the methane budget over the period 2000–2012, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 17, 11135-11161, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-17-11135-2017, 2017.
Shrestha, R. K., Arora, V. K., Melton, J. R., and Sushama, L. (2017) An assessment of geographical distribution of different plant functional types over North America simulated using the CLASS-CTEM modelling framework, Biogeosciences Discuss., doi:10.5194/bg-2017-35, accepted.
Fyfe, J. C., C. Derksen, L. Mudryk, G. M. Flato, B. D. Santer, N. C. Swart, N. P. Molotch, X. Zhang, H. Wan, V. K. Arora, J. Scinocca and Y. Jiao (2017) Large near-term projected snowpack loss over the western United States, Nature Communications, doi:10.1038/ncomms14996.
Rabin, S. S., Melton, J. R., Lasslop, G., Bachelet, D., Forrest, M., Hantson, S., Kaplan, J. O., Li, F., Mangeon, S., Ward, D. S., Yue, C., Arora, V. K., Hickler, T., Kloster, S., Knorr, W., Nieradzik, L., Spessa, A., Folberth, G. A., Sheehan, T., Voulgarakis, A., Kelley, D. I., Prentice, I. C., Sitch, S., Harrison, S., and Arneth, A. (2017) The Fire Modeling Intercomparison Project (FireMIP), phase 1: experimental and analytical protocols with detailed model descriptions, Geosci. Model Dev., 10, 1175-1197, doi:10.5194/gmd-10-1175-2017.

2016

Saunois, M., Bousquet, P., Poulter, B., Peregon, A., Ciais, P., Canadell, J. G., Dlugokencky, E. J., Etiope, G., Bastviken, D., Houweling, S., Janssens-Maenhout, G., Tubiello, F. N., Castaldi, S., Jackson, R. B., Alexe, M., Arora, V. K., Beerling, D. J., Bergamaschi, P., Blake, D. R., Brailsford, G., Brovkin, V., Bruhwiler, L., Crevoisier, C., Crill, P., Covey, K., Curry, C., Frankenberg, C., Gedney, N., Höglund-Isaksson, L., Ishizawa, M., Ito, A., Joos, F., Kim, H.-S., Kleinen, T., Krummel, P., Lamarque, J.-F., Langenfelds, R., Locatelli, R., Machida, T., Maksyutov, S., McDonald, K. C., Marshall, J., Melton, J. R., Morino, I., Naik, V., O'Doherty, S., Parmentier, F.-J. W., Patra, P. K., Peng, C., Peng, S., Peters, G. P., Pison, I., Prigent, C., Prinn, R., Ramonet, M., Riley, W. J., Saito, M., Santini, M., Schroeder, R., Simpson, I. J., Spahni, R., Steele, P., Takizawa, A., Thornton, B. F., Tian, H., Tohjima, Y., Viovy, N., Voulgarakis, A., van Weele, M., van der Werf, G. R., Weiss, R., Wiedinmyer, C., Wilton, D. J., Wiltshire, A., Worthy, D., Wunch, D., Xu, X., Yoshida, Y., Zhang, B., Zhang, Z., and Zhu, Q. (2016) The global methane budget 2000–2012, Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 8, 697-751, doi:10.5194/essd-8-697-2016.
Jones, C. D., Arora, V., Friedlingstein, P., Bopp, L., Brovkin, V., Dunne, J., Graven, H., Hoffman, F., Ilyina, T., John, J. G., Jung, M., Kawamiya, M., Koven, C., Pongratz, J., Raddatz, T., Randerson, J., and Zaehle, S. (2016) The C4MIP experimental protocol for CMIP6, Geosci. Model Dev., 9, 2853-2880, doi:10.5194/gmd-9-2853-2016
Arora, V. K. and Scinocca, J. F.: (2016) Constraining the strength of the terrestrial CO2 fertilization effect in the Canadian Earth system model version 4.2 (CanESM4.2), Geosci. Model Dev., 9, 2357-2376, doi:10.5194/gmd-9-2357-2016.
Tokarska, K. B., N. P. Gillett, A. J. Weaver, and V. K. Arora (2016) The climate response to five trillion tonnes of carbon, Nature Climate Change, 6, 851–855.
Badawy, B., V. K. Arora, J. R. Melton, and R. Nassar (2016), Modeling the diurnal variability of respiratory fluxes in the Canadian Terrestrial Ecosystem Model (CTEM), J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 08, 614–633, doi:10.1002/2015MS000540.
Shrestha, R. K., V. K. Arora, and J. R. Melton (2016), The sensitivity of simulated competition between different plant functional types to subgrid-scale representation of vegetation in a land surface model, J. Geophys. Res. Biogeosci., 121, doi:10.1002/2015JG003234.
Arora, V. K., Y. Peng, W. A. Kurz, J. C. Fyfe, B. Hawkins, and A. T. Werner (2016), Potential near-future carbon uptake overcomes losses from a large insect outbreak in British Columbia, Canada, Geophys. Res. Lett., 43, doi:10.1002/2015GL067532.
Melton, J. R., and Arora,V. K. (2016) Competition between plant functional types in the Canadian Terrestrial Ecosystem Model (CTEM) v. 2.0, Geosci. Model Dev., 9, 323-361, doi:10.5194/gmd-9-323-2016.

2015

Gauss, M., V. K. Arora, C. D. Koven, D. J. K. Olivié, O. A. Søvde, L. Höglund-Isaksson, T. R. Christensen, F.-J. Parmentier, and D. A. Plummer (2015) Chapter 8: Modeling the climate response to methane, in AMAP Assessment 2015: Methane as an Arctic climate forcer. Arctic Monitoring and Assessment Programme (AMAP), Oslo, Norway, viii+ 139pp.
Kuperberg, J. M., M. Shepherd, V. K. Arora, L. Bruhwiler, E. Bush, T. R. Christensen, L. Höglund-Isaksson, M. Gauss, F.-J. Parmentier, D. A. Plummer, and C. Taylor (2015) Chapter 9: Conclusions and recommendations, inAMAP Assessment 2015: Methane as an Arctic climate forcer. Arctic Monitoring and Assessment Programme (AMAP), Oslo, Norway, viii+ 139pp.
Koven, C. D., Chambers, J. Q., Georgiou, K., Knox, R., Negron-Juarez, R., Riley, W. J., Arora, V. K., Brovkin, V., Friedlingstein, P., and Jones, C. D. (2015) Controls on terrestrial carbon feedbacks by productivity versus turnover in the CMIP5 Earth System Models, Biogeosciences, 12, 5211-5228, doi:10.5194/bg-12-5211-2015.
Melton, J.R. Shrestha, R. K., and Arora, V. K. (2015) The influence of soils on heterotrophic respiration exerts a strong control on net ecosystem productivity in seasonally dry Amazonian forests, Biogeosciences, 12(4), 1151-1168, doi:10.5194/bg-12-1151-2015.

2014

Boysen, L. R., Brovkin, V., Arora, V. K., Cadule, P., de Noblet-Ducoudré, N., Kato, E., Pongratz, J., and Gayler, V. (2014) Global and regional effects of land-use change on climate in 21st century simulations with interactive carbon cycle, Earth Syst. Dynam., 5, 309-319, doi:10.5194/esd-5-309-2014.
Todd-Brown, K. E. O., Randerson, J. T., Hopkins, F., Arora, V., Hajima, T., Jones, C., Shevliakova, E., Tjiputra, J., Volodin, E., Wu, T., Zhang, Q., and Allison, S. D. (2014) Changes in soil organic carbon storage predicted by Earth system models during the 21st century, Biogeosciences, 11, 2341-2356, doi:10.5194/bg-11-2341-201.
Seiler, C., R. W. A. Hutjes, B. Kruijt, J. Quispe, S. A˜nez, V. K. Arora, J. R. Melton, T. Hickler, and P. Kabat (2014), Modeling forest dynamics along climate gradients in Bolivia, J. Geophys. Res. Biogeosci., 119,758–775, doi:10.1002/2013JG002509.
Melton, J. R. and Arora, V. K. (2014) Sub-grid scale representation of vegetation in global land surface schemes: implications for estimation of the terrestrial carbon sink, Biogeosciences, 11, 1021-1036, doi:10.5194/bg-11-1021-2014.
Hoffman, F. M., J. T. Randerson, V. K. Arora, Q. Bao, P. Cadule, D. Ji, C. D. Jones, M. Kawamiya, S. Khatiwala, K. Lindsay, A. Obata, E. Shevliakova, K. D. Six, J. F. Tjiputra, E. M. Volodin, and T. Wu (2014) Causes and implications of persistent atmospheric carbon dioxide biases in Earth System Models, J. Geophys. Res. Biogeosci., 119,141–162, doi:10.1002/2013JG002381.
Arora, V. K. and Boer, G. J. (2014) Terrestrial ecosystems response to future changes in climate and atmospheric CO2 concentration, Biogeosciences, 11, 4157-4171, doi:10.5194/bg-11-4157-2014.
Garnaud, C., L. Sushama, V. K. Arora (2014) The effect of driving climate on the simulate terrestrial carbon pools and fluxes over North America, Intl. J. Climatology, 34, 1098-1110.
Friedlingstein, P. , M. Meinshausen, V. K. Arora, C. D. Jones, A. Anav, S. K. Liddicoat, and R. Knutti (2014) Uncertainties in CMIP5 Climate Projections due to Carbon Cycle Feedbacks. J. Climate, 27, 511–526.
Peng, Y., Arora, V. K., Kurz, W. A., Hember, R. A., Hawkins, B. J., Fyfe, J. C., and Werner, A. T. (2014) Climate and atmospheric drivers of historical terrestrial carbon uptake in the province of British Columbia, Canada, Biogeosciences, 11, 635-649, doi:10.5194/bg-11-635-2014.

2013

Fyfe, J.C. K. von Salzen, N. P. Gillett, V. K. Arora, G. M. Flato, and J. R. McConnell (2013).One hundred years of Arctic surface temperature variation due to anthropogenic influence, Scientific Reports 3, 2645, doi:10.1038/srep02645.
Brovkin, V., L. Boysen, V. K. Arora, J. P. Boisier, P. Cadule, L. Chini, M. Claussen, P. Friedlingstein, V. Gayler, B. J. J. M. van den Hurk, G. C. Hurtt, C. D. Jones, E. Kato, N. de Noblet-Ducoudré, F. Pacifico, J. Pongratz, M. Weiss (2013) Effect of anthropogenic land-use and land cover changes on climate and land carbon storage in CMIP5 projections for the 21st century, J. Clim., 26, 6859-6881.
Gillett, N. P., V. K. Arora, D. Matthews, and M. R. Allen (2013) Constraining the ratio of global warming to cumulative CO2 emissions using CMIP5 simulation, J. Clim., 26, 6844-6858.
Jones, C., E. Robertson, V. K. Arora, P. Friedlingstein, E. Shevliakova, L. Bopp, V. Brovkin, T. Hajima, E. Kato, M. Kawamiya, S. Liddicoat, K. Lindsay, C. H. Reick, C. Roelandt, J. Segschneider, and J. Tjiputra (2013). 21stCentury compatible CO2 emissions and airborne fraction simulated by CMIP5 Earth System models under 4 Representative Concentration Pathway, J. Clim., 26, 4398–4413.
Boer, G. J and V. K. Arora, V. K. (2013). Feedbacks in emission-driven and concentration-driven global carbon budgets, J. Clim., 26, 3326–3341.
Arora, V. K., G. J. Boer, P. Friedlingstein, M. Eby, C. D. Jones, J. R. Christian, G. Bonan, L. Bopp, V. Brovkin, P. Cadule, T. Hajima, T. Ilyina, K. Lindsay, J. F. Tjiputra, and T. Wu (2013). Carbon-concentration and carbon-climate feedbacks in CMIP5 Earth system models, J. Clim., 26, 5289–5314.
Fyfe, J. C., J. N. S. Cole, V. K. Arora, and J. F. Scinocca (2013). Biogeochemical carbon coupling influences global precipitation in geoengineering experiments, Geophys. Res. Lett., 40, doi:10.1002/grl.50166.

2012

Wania, R., Meissner, K. J., Eby, M., Arora, V. K., Ross, I., and Weaver, A. J. 2012. Carbon-nitrogen feedbacks in the UVic ESCM. Geosci. Model Dev., 5, 1137-1160, doi:10.5194/gmd-5-1137-2012.
R. Li and Arora, V. K. 2012. Effect of mosaic representation of vegetation in land surface schemes on simulated energy and carbon balances. Biogeosciences, 9, 593-605.
Gillett, N. P., V. K. Arora, G. M. Flato, J. F. Scinocca, and K. von Salzen 2012. Improved constraints on 21st-century warming derived using 160 years of temperature observations, Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L01704, doi:10.1029/2011GL050226.
Zickfeld, K., V. K. Arora, and N. P. Gillett, 2012. Is the climate response to CO2 emissions path dependent?, Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L05703, doi:10.1029/2011GL050205.

2011

Arora, V. K. and A. Montenegro. 2011. Small temperature benefits provided by realistic afforestation efforts. Nature Geoscience. DOI:10.1038/NGEO1182.
Arora, V. K., J. F. Scinocca, G. J. Boer, J. R. Christian, K. L. Denman, G. M. Flato, V. V. Kharin, W. G. Lee, and W. J. Merryfield. 2011. Carbon emission limits required to satisfy future representative concentration pathways of greenhouse gases. Geophys. Res. Lett.. 38, L05805, doi:10.1029/2010GL046270.
Gillett, N., V.K. Arora, K. Zickfeld, S. Marshall and W. Merryfield. 2011. Ongoing climate change following a complete cessation of carbon dioxide emissions. Nature Geoscience. 4, 83-87.
Huang, S., M.A. Arain, V.K. Arora, F. Yuan, J. Brodeur, M. Peichl. 2011. Analysis of nitrogen controls on carbon and water exchanges in a conifer forest using the CLASS-CTEMN+ model, Ecological Modelling, 222, 3743-3760.

2010

Arora, V.K. and G.J. Boer. 2010. Uncertainties in the 20th century carbon budget associated with land use change. Global Change Biology. 16(12), 3327-3348.
Christian, J. R., V. K. Arora, G. J. Boer, C. Curry, K. Zahariev, K. Denman, G. Flato, W. Lee, W. Merryfield, N. Roulet, and J. Scinocca. 2010. The global carbon cycle in the CCCma earth system model CanESM1: preindustrial control simulation. J. Geophy. Res. (Biogeosciences). 115, G03014, doi:10.1029/2008JG000920.
Boer, G. J., and V. K. Arora. 2010. Geographic aspects of temperature and concentration feedbacks in the carbon budget. J. Clim. 23, 775-784.
St-Hilaire, F., J. Wu, N. T. Roulet, S. Frolking, P. M. Lafleur, E. R. Humphreys, and V. Arora (2010) McGill Wetland Model: evaluation of a peatland carbon simulator developed for global assessments, Biogeosciences, 7, 3517-3530.

2009

Arora, V. K., G. J. Boer, J. R. Christian, C. L. Curry, K. L. Denman, K. Zahariev, G. M. Flato, J. F. Scinocca, W. J. Merryfield, W. G. Lee. 2009. The effect of terrestrial photosynthesis down-regulation on the 20th century carbon budget simulated with the CCCma Earth System Model. J. Clim. 22, 6066-6088.
Boer, G. J., and V. K. Arora. 2009. Temperature and concentration feedbacks in the carbon cycle. Geophys. Res. Lett.. 36, L02704, doi:10.1029/2008GL036220.
Arora, V. K., and H. D. Matthews. 2009. Characterizing uncertainty in modeling primary terrestrial ecosystem processes. Global Biogeochemical Cycles. 23, GB2016, 10.1029/2008GB003398.

2007

Arora, V.K. and S. Harrison. 2007. Upscaling river networks for use in climate models. Geophys. Res. Lett. 34, L21407, doi:10.1029/2007GL031865.

2006

Wang, A., D. Price, and V. Arora. 2006. Estimating changes in global vegetation cover (1850-2100) for use in climate models. Global Biogeochemical Cycles. 20(3), GB3028, 10.1029/2005GB002514.
Arora, V.K. and G.J. Boer. 2006. "Achieving coexistence. Comment on "Modelling rainforest diversity: The role of competition" by Bampfylde et al. 2005. Ecological Modelling. 192(1-2), 322-324.
Arora, V.K. and G.J. Boer. 2006. Simulating competition and coexistence between plant functional types in a dynamic vegetation model. Earth Interactions. Vol. 10, Paper 10, 30 pp.
Arora, V.K. and G. J. Boer. 2006. The temporal variability of soil moisture and surface hydrological quantities in a climate model. J. Clim. 19(22), 5875-5888.

2005

Arora, V.K. and G.J. Boer. 2005. Fire as an interactive component of dynamic vegetation models. J. Geophys. Res. - Biogeosciences. 110(G2), G02008, 10.1029/2005JG000042.
Arora, V.K. 2005. Comment on "Optimized stomatal conductance of vegetated land surfaces and its effects on simulated productivity and climate", by A. Kleidon. Geophys. Res. Lett. 32(8), L08708, 10.1029/2004GL022110.
Arora, V.K. and G.J. Boer. 2005. A parameterization of leaf phenology for the terrestrial ecosystem component of climate models. Global Change Biology. 11(1), 39-59.
Grant R.F., Arain A., Arora V., Barr A., Black T.A., Chen J., Wang, S., Yuan F., and Zhang Y. 2005. Intercomparison of techniques to model high temperature effects on CO2 and energy exchange in temperate and boreal coniferous forests. Ecological Modelling. 188(2-4), 217-252.

2004

Whitfield. P.H., P.J. Pilon, D.H. Burn, V. Arora, H.F. Lins, T. Ouarda, C.D. Sellars, and C. Spence. 2004. Climate Variability and Change . Rivers and Streams, in Threats to Water Availability in Canada, NWRI Scientific Assessment Report Series No. 3 and ACSD Scientific Assessment Series No. 1, National Water Research Institute, Meteorological Service of Canada, 85-90 pp.

2003