Near-Surface Biases in ERA5 Over the Canadian Prairies

Citation

Betts, A.K., Chan, D.Z., Desjardins, R.L. (2019). Near-Surface Biases in ERA5 Over the Canadian Prairies. Frontiers in Environmental Science, [online] 7 http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2019.00129

Plain language summary

In this study, we quantify the difference between the predicted and observed daily cycle of climate variables between a reanalysis model (ERA5) and observed using hourly climate station data for four stations in Saskatchewan, Canada. Compared with an older version of the reanalysis model (ERA-Interim), the biases in ERA5 have been greatly reduced, and show no differences with snow cover. Diurnally, ERA5 has a negative wind speed bias, which tends to increase with wind speed, and is greater in the daytime than at night. We evaluate ERA5 precipitation against the original climate station precipitation data, and an adjusted precipitation dataset. During the warm season, ERA5 has a high bias of 8 ± 9% above the adjusted dataset, but is −22 ± 7% below the adjusted data in winter. We show that the ERA5 is able to provide a realistic estimate of water and energy budgets in Saskatchewan.

Abstract

We quantify the biases in the diurnal cycle of air temperature in ERA5, using hourly climate station data for four stations in Saskatchewan, Canada. Compared with ERA-Interim, the biases in ERA5 have been greatly reduced, and show no differences with snow cover. We compute fits to the ERA5 mean air temperature biases based on ERA5 effective cloud albedo. They can be used to improve the ERA5 diurnal cycle of air temperature for modeling agricultural processes. Diurnally, ERA5 has a negative wind speed bias, which increases quasi-linearly with wind speed, and is greater in the daytime than at night. We evaluate ERA5 precipitation against the original climate station precipitation data, and a second generation adjusted precipitation dataset by Mekis and Vincent (2011). For the warm season, ERA5 has a high bias of 8 ± 9% above the Mekis dataset. ERA5 is −22 ± 7% below the Mekis estimate in winter, suggesting that their correction with snow may be too large. It is likely that the ERA5 precipitation bias is small, which is encouraging for agricultural modeling. Data from a BSRN site near Regina shows that the biases in the downwelling shortwave and longwave radiation estimates in ERA5 are small, and have changed little from ERA-Interim. We show that the annual cycle of the Saskatchewan surface energy and water budgets in ERA5 are realistic. In particular the damping of extremes in summer precipitation by the extraction of soil water is comparable in ERA5 to our earlier observational estimate based on gravity satellite data.

Publication date

2019-09-06

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