Dr. Nathan Gillett

2021

B. D. Santer, S. Po-Chedley, C. Mears, J. C. Fyfe, N. P. Gillett, Q. Fu, J. F. Painter, S. Solomon, A. K. Steiner, F. J. Wentz, M. D. Zelinka, Cheng-Zhi Zou, Using climate model simulations to constrain observations, J. Clim., 2021.

C. D. Jones, J. E. Hickman, S. T. Rumbold, J. Walton, R. D. Lamboll, R. B. Skeie, S. Fiedler, P. M. Forster, J. Rogelj, M. Abe, M. Botzet, K. Calvin, C. Cassou, J. N.S. Cole, P. Davini, M. Deushi, M. Dix, J. C. Fyfe, N. P. Gillett, T. Ilyina, M. Kawamiya, M. Kelley, S. Kharin, T. Koshiro, H. Li, C. Mackallah, W. A. Müller, P. Nabat, T. van Noije, P. Nolan, R. Ohgaito, D. Olivié, N. Oshima, J. Parodi, T. J. Reerink, L. Ren, A. Romanou, R. Séférian, Y. Tang, C. Timmreck, J. Tjiputra, E. Tourigny, K. Tsigaridis, H. Wang, M. Wu, K. Wyser, S. Yang, Y. Yang, T. Ziehn, The climate response to emissions reductions due to COVID-19: Initial results from CovidMIP, Geophys. Res. Lett., 48, e2020GL091883, 2021.

N. P. Gillett,  M. Kirchmeier-Young,  A. Ribes, H. Shiogama, G. C. Hegerl, R. Knutti, G. Gastineau, J. G. John, L. Li, L. Nazarenko, N. Rosenbloom, Ø. Seland, T. Wu, S. Yukimoto, T. Ziehn, Constraining human contributions to observed warming since the pre-industrial period, Nature Clim. Change, 11, 207-212, 2021.

A Ribes, S. Qasmi, N. P. Gillett, Making climate projections conditional on historical observations, Sci. Adv., 7, eabc0671, 2021.

2020

H. D. Matthews, K. B. Tokarska, Z. R. J. Nicholls, J. Rogelj, J. G. Canadell, P. Friedlingstein, T. L. Frölicher, P. M. Forster, N. P. Gillett, T. Ilyina, R. B. Jackson, C. D. Jones, C. Koven, R. Knutti, A. H. MacDougall, M. Meinshausen, N. Mengis, R. Séférian, K. Zickfeld, Opportunities and challenges in using remaining carbon budgets to guide climate policy, Nature Geosci., 13, 769-779, 2020.

K. B. Tokarska, V. K. Arora, N. P. Gillett, F. Lehner, J. Rogelj, C.-F. Schleussner, R. Séférian, R. Knutti, Uncertainty in carbon budget estimates due to internal variability, Environ. Res. Lett., 15, 104064, 2020.

L. A. Rieger, J. N. S. Cole, J. C. Fyfe, S. Po-Chedley, P. J. Cameron-Smith, P. J. Durack, N. P. Gillett, Q. Tang, Quantifying CanESM5 and EAMv1 sensitivities to Mt. Pinatubo volcanic forcing for the CMIP6 historical experiment, Geosci. Model Dev., 13, 4831–4843, 2020.

Y. Liang, N. P. Gillett, A. H. Monahan, Climate model projections of 21st century global warming constrained using the observed warming trend, Geophys. Res. Lett., 47, e2019GL086757, 2020.

2019

K. B. Tokarska, C.-F. Schleussner, J. Rogelj, M. B. Stolpe, H. D. Matthews, P. Pfleiderer, N. P. Gillett, Recommended temperature metrics for carbon budget estimates, model evaluation and climate policy, Nature Geosci., 12, 964-971, 2019.

C. D. Jones, T. L. Frölicher, C. Koven, A. H. MacDougall, H. D. Matthews, K. Zickfeld, J. Rogelj, K. B. Tokarska, N. P. Gillett, T. Ilyina, M. Meinshausen, N. Mengis, R. Séférian, M. Eby, F. A. Burger, The Zero Emissions Commitment Model Intercomparison Project (ZECMIP) contribution to C4MIP: quantifying committed climate changes following zero carbon emissions, Geosci Model Dev., 12, 4375-4385, 2019.

J. M. K. Sniderman, J. R. Brown, J. D. Woodhead, A. D. King, N. P. Gillett, K. B. Tokarska, K. Lorbacher, J. Hellstrom, R. N. Drysdale, M. Meinshausen, Southern Hemisphere subtropical drying as a transient response to warming, Nature Clim. Change, 9, 232-236, 2019.

M. C. Kirchmeier-Young, N. P. Gillett, F. W. Zwiers, A. J. Cannon, F. S. Anslow, Attribution of the influence of human‐induced cimate change on an extreme fire season, Earth's Future, 7, 2-10, 2019.

2018

N. C. Swart, S. T. Gille, J. C. Fyfe, N. P. Gillett, Recent Southern Ocean warming and freshening driven by greenhouse gas emissions and ozone depletion, Nature Geosci., 11, 836-841, 2018.

B. L. Mueller, N. P. Gillett, A. H. Monahan, F. W. Zwiers, Attribution of Arctic sea ice decline from 1953 to 2012 to influences from natural, greenhouse gas, and anthropogenic aerosol forcing, J. Clim., 31, 7771-7787, 2018.

V. V. Kharin, G. M. Flato, X. Zhang, N. P. Gillett, F. W. Zwiers, K. J. Anderson, Risks from climate extremes change differently from 1.5°C to 2.0°C depending on rarity, Earth's Future, 6, 704-715, 2018.

P. J. Kushner, L. R. Mudryk, W. Merryfield, J. T. Ambadan, A. Berg, A. Bichet, R. Brown, C. Derksen, S. J. Déry, A. Dirkson, G. Flato, C. G. Fletcher, J. C. Fyfe, N. Gillett, C. Haas, S. Howell, F. Laliberté, K. McCusker, M. Sigmond, R. Sospedra-Alfonso, N. F. Tandon, C. Thackeray, B. Tremblay, F. W. Zwiers, Canadian snow and sea ice: assessment of snow, sea ice, and related climate processes in Canada's Earth system model and climate-prediction system, Cryosphere, 12, 1137-1156, 2018,

K. B. Tokarska, N. P. Gillett, Cumulative carbon emissions budgets consistent with 1.5°C global warming, Nature Clim. Change, 8, 269-299, 2018.

K. B. Tokarska, N. P. Gillett, V. K. Arora, W. G. Lee, K. Zickfeld, The influence of non-CO2 forcings on cumulative carbon emissions budgets, Environ. Res. Lett., 13, 034039, 2018.

2017

M. R. Najafi, F. W. Zwiers, N. P. Gillett, Attribution of observed streamflow changes in key British Columbia drainage basins, Geophys. Res. Lett., 44, 11012-11020, 2017.

M. C. Kirchmeier-Young, F. W. Zwiers, N. P. Gillett, A. J. Cannon, Attributing extreme fire risk in Western Canada to human emissions, Clim. Change, 144, 365-379, 2017.

M.‐È. Gagné, M. C. Kirchmeier‐Young, N. P. Gillett, J. C. Fyfe, Arctic sea ice response to the eruptions of Agung, El Chichón and Pinatubo, J. Geophys. Res., 122, 8071-8078, 2017.

M. R Najafi, F. W. Zwiers, N. P. Gillett, Attribution of the Observed Spring Snowpack Decline in British Columbia to Anthropogenic Climate Change, J. Clim., 30, 4113-4130, 2017.

D. Ehlert, K. Zickfeld, M. Eby, N. P. Gillett, The sensitivity of the proportionality between temperature change and cumulative CO2 emissions to ocean mixing, J. Clim., 30, 2921-2935, 2017.

D. Mitchell, K. AchutaRao, M. Allen, I. Bethke, U. Beyerle, A. Ciavarella, P. M. Forster, J. Fuglestvedt, N. P. Gillett, K. Haustein, W. Ingram, T. Iversen, V. Kharin, N. Klingaman, N. Massey, E. Fischer, C.-F. Schleussner, J. Scinocca, Ø. Seland, H. Shiogama, E. Shuckburgh, S. Sparrow, D. Stone, P. Uhe, D. Wallom, M. Wehner, R. Zaaboul, Half a degree additional warming, prognosis and projected impacts (HAPPI): background and experimental design, Geosci. Model Dev., 10, 571-583, 2017.

M. È. Gagné, J. C. Fyfe, N. P. Gillett, I. V. Polyakov, G. M. Flato, Aerosol‐driven increase in Arctic sea ice over the middle of the 20th Century, Geophys. Res. Lett., 44, 7338–7346, 2017.

M. C. Kirchmeier-Young, F. W. Zwiers, N. P. Gillett, Attribution of extreme events in Arctic Sea ice extent, J. Clim., 30, 553-571, 2017.

2016

N. P. Gillett, H. Shiogama, B. Funke, G. Hegerl, R. Knutti, K. Matthes, B. D. Santer, D. Stone, C. Tebaldi, The Detection and Attribution Model Intercomparison Project (DAMIP v1. 0) contribution to CMIP6, Geosci. Model Dev., 9, 3685-3697, 2016.

K. B. Tokarska, N. P. Gillett, A. J. Weaver, V. K. Arora, M. Eby, The climate response to five trillion tonnes of carbon, Nature Clim. Change, 6, 851-855, 2016. 

M. R. Najafi, F. W. Zwiers, N. P. Gillett, Attribution of the spring snow cover decline in the Northern Hemisphere, Eurasia and North America to anthropogenic influence, Climatic Change, 136, 571-586, 2016.

J. C. Fyfe, G. A. Meehl, M. H. England, M. E. Mann, B. D. Santer, G. M. Flato, E. Hawkins, N. P. Gillett, S.-P. Xie, Y. Kosaka, N. C. Swart, Making sense of the early-2000s warming slowdown, Nature Clim. Change, 6, 224-228, 2016.

J. Rogelj, M. Schaeffer, P. Friedlingstein, N. P. Gillett, D. P. van Vuuren, K. Riahi, M. Allen, R. Knutti, Differences between carbon budget estimates unraveled, Nature Clim. Change, 6, 245-252, 2016.

2015

N. P. Gillett, Weighting climate model projections using observational constraints, Phil. Trans. A, 373, 20140425, 2015.

N. C. Swart, J. C. Fyfe, N. P. Gillett, G. J. Marshall, Comparing trends in the Southern Annular Mode and surface westerly jet, J. Clim., 28, 8840-8859, 2015.

M-È. Gagné, N. P. Gillett, J. C. Fyfe, Impact of aerosol emission controls on future Arctic sea ice cover, Geophys. Res. Lett., 42, 8481-8488, 2015.

A. Ribes, N. P. Gillett, F. W. Zwiers, Designing detection and attribution simulations to optimize the estimation of greenhouse gas–induced warming for CMIP6, J. Clim., 28, 3435-3438, 2015.

M. R. Najafi, F. W. Zwiers, N. P. Gillett, Attribution of Arctic temperature change to greenhouse gas and aerosol influences, Nature Clim. Change, 5, 246-249, 2015.

M.-È. Gagné, N. P. Gillett, J. C. Fyfe, Observed and simulated changes in Antarctic sea ice extent over the past 50 years, Geophys. Res. Letters, 42, 90-95, 2015.

2014

J. C. Fyfe, N. P. Gillett, Recent observed and simulated warming, Nature Clim. Change, 4, 150-151, 2014.

2013

B. D. Santer, J. F. Painter, C. Bonfils, C. A. Mears, S. Solomon, T. M. L. Wigley, P. J. Gleckler, G. A. Schmidt, C. Doutriaux, N. P. Gillett, K. E. Taylor, P. W. Thorne, F. J. Wentz, Human and natural influences on the changing thermal structure of the atmosphere, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 110, 17235-17240, 2013.

N. P. Gillett, V. K. Arora, D. Matthews, M. R. Allen, Constraining the ratio of global warming to cumulative CO2 emissions using CMIP5 simulations, J. Clim., 26, 6844-6858, 2013.

J C. Fyfe, K. von Salzen, N. P. Gillett, V. K. Arora, G. M. Flato, J. R. McConnell, One hundred years of Arctic surface temperature variation due to anthropogenic influence, Sci. Rep., 3, 2645, 2013.

J. C. Fyfe, N. P. Gillett, F. W. Zwiers, Overestimated global warming over the past 20 years, Nature Clim. Change, 3, 767-769, 2013.

A. Otto, F. E. L. Otto, O. Boucher, J. Church, G. Hegerl, P. M. Forster, N. P. Gillett, J. Gregory, G. C. Johnson, R. Knutti, N. Lewis, U. Lohmann, B. Stevens, M. R. Allen, Energy budget constraints on climate response, Nat. Geosci., 6(6): 415-416, 2013.

N. P. Gillett, J. C. Fyfe, D. E. Parker, Attribution of observed sea level pressure trends to greenhouse gas, aerosol and ozone changes, Geophys. Res. Lett., 40(10), 2302-2306, 2013.

N. P. Gillett, K. von Salzen, The role of reduced aerosol precursor emissions in driving near-term warming, Environ. Res. Lett., 8: 034008, 2013.

N. P. Gillett, J. C. Fyfe, Annular mode changes in the CMIP5 simulations, Geophys. Res. Lett., 40(6): 1189-1193, 2013.

A. J. Charlton-Perez, M. P. Baldwin, T. Birner, R. X. Black, A. H. Butler, N. Calvo, N. A. Davis, E. P. Gerber, N. P. Gillett, S. Hardiman, J. Kim, K. Kruger, Y. Y. Lee, E. Manzini, B. A. McDaniel, L. Polvani, T. Reichler, T. A. Shaw, M. Sigmond, S.-W. Son, M. Toohey, L. Wilcox, S. Yoden, B. Christiansen, F. Lott, D. Shindell, S. Yukimoto, S. Watanabe, On the lack of stratospheric dynamical variability in low-top versions of the CMIP5 models, J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 118(6): 2494-2505, 2013.

F. C. Lott, P. A. Stott, D. M. Mitchell, N. Christidis, N. P. Gillett, L. Haimberger, J. Perlwitz, P. W. Thorne, Models versus radiosondes in the free atmosphere: A new detection and attribution analysis of temperature, J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 118(6): 2609-2619, 2013.

J. C. Fyfe, K. von Salzen, J. N. S. Cole, N. P. Gillett, J. P. Vernier, Surface response to stratospheric aerosol changes in a coupled atmosphere-ocean model, Geophys. Res. Lett., 40(3): 584-588, 2013.

B. D. Santer, J. F. Painter, C. A. Mears, C. Doutriaux, P. Caldwell, J. M. Arblaster, P. J. Cameron-Smith, N. P. Gillett, P. J. Gleckler, J. Lanzante, J. Perlwitz, S. Solomon, P. A. Stott, K. E. Taylor, L. Terray, P. W. Thorne, M. F. Wehner, F. J. Wentz, T. M. L. Wigley, L. J. Wilcox, C. Z. Zou, Identifying human influences on atmospheric temperature, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 110(1): 26-33, 2013.

P. Stott, P. Good, G. Jones, N. P. Gillett, E. Hawkins, The upper end of climate model temperature projections is inconsistent with past warming, Environ. Res. Lett., 8(1), 014024, 2013.

2012

J. C. Fyfe, N. P. Gillett, G. J. Marshall, Human influence on extratropical Southern Hemisphere summer precipitation, Geophys. Res. Lett., 39(23), L23711, 2012.

K. Zickfeld, V. K. Arora, N. P. Gillett, Is the climate response to CO2 emissions path dependent?, Geophys. Res. Lett., L05703, 2012.

N. P. Gillett, V. K. Arora, G. M. Flato, J. F. Scinocca, K. Von Salzen, Improved constraints on 21st-century warming derived using 160 years of temperature observations, Geophys. Res. Lett., L01704, 2012.

2011

B. D. Santer, C. Mears, C. Doutriaux, P. Caldwell, P. J. Gleckler, T. M. L. Wigley, S. Solomon, N. P. Gillett, D. Ivanova, T. R. Karl, J. R. Lanzante, G. A. Meehl, P. A. Stott, K. E. Taylor, P. W. Thorne, M. F. Wehner, and F. J. Wentz, Separating signal and noise in atmospheric temperature changes: The importance of timescale, J. Geophys. Res., D22105, 2011.

D. J. Seidel, N. P. Gillett, J. R. Lanzante, K. P. Shine, and P. W. Thorne, Stratospheric temperature trends: our evolving understanding, Wiley Interdiscip. Rev. Clim. Change, 2, 592-616, 2011.

M. Sigmond, M. C. Reader, J. C. Fyfe, and N. P. Gillett, Drivers of past and future Southern Ocean change: Stratospheric ozone versus greenhouse gas impacts, Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L12601, 2011.

P. M. Forster, V. I. Fomichev, E. Rozanov, C. Cagnazzo, A. I. Jonsson, U. Langematz, B. Fomin, M. J. Iacono, B. Mayer, E. Mlawer, G. Myhre, R. W. Portmann, H. Akiyoshi, V. Falaleeva, N. Gillett, A. Karpechko, J. Li, P. Lemennais, O. Morgenstern, S. Oberländer, M. Sigmond, and K. Shibata, Evaluation of radiation scheme performance within chemistry climate models, J. Geophys. Res., 116, D10302, 2011.

N. P. Gillett, H. Akiyoshi, S. Bekki, P. Braesicke, V. Eyring, R. Garcia, A. Yu. Karpechko, C. A. McLinden, O. Morgenstern, D. A. Plummer, J. A. Pyle, E. Rozanov, J. Scinocca, and K. Shibata, Attribution of observed changes in stratospheric ozone and temperature, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 11, 599-609, 2011.

N. P. Gillett, V. K. Arora, K. Zickfeld, S. J. Marshall and W. J. Merryfield, Ongoing climate change following a complete cessation of carbon dioxide emissions, Nature Geosci., 4, 83-87, 2011.

2010

A. Yu. Karpechko, N. P. Gillett, L. J. Gray and M. Dall'Amico, Influence of ozone recovery and greenhouse gas increases on Southern Hemisphere circulation, J. Geophys. Res., 115, D22117, 2010.

A. Yu. Karpechko, N. P. Gillett, M. Dall'Amico and L. J. Gray, Southern Hemisphere circulation response to the El Chichon and Pinatubo eruptions in coupled climate models, Q. J. Royal Met. Soc., 136, 1813-1822, 2010.

S. W. Son, E. P. Gerber, J. Perlwitz, L. M. Polvani, N. P. Gillett, K. H. Seo, V. Eyring, T. G. Shepherd, D. Waugh, H. Akiyoshi, J. Austin, A. Baumgaertner, S. Bekki, P. Braesicke, C. Bruhl, N. Butchart, M. P. Chipperfield, D. Cugnet, M. Dameris, S. Dhomse, S. Frith, H. Garny, R. Garcia, S. C. Hardiman, P. Jockel, J. F. Lamarque, E. Mancini, M. Marchand, M. Michou, T. Nakamura, O. Morgenstern, D. Smale, H. Teyssedre, W. Tian and Y. Yamashita, Impact of stratospheric ozone on Southern Hemisphere circulation change: A multimodel assessment, J. Geophys. Res., 115, D00M07, 2010.

N. P. Gillett and H. D. Matthews, Accounting for carbon cycle feedbacks in a comparison of the global warming effects of greenhouse gases, Environ. Res. Lett., 5, 034011, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/5/3/034011, 2010.

O. Morgenstern, H. Akiyoshi, S. Bekki, P. Braesicke, N. Butchart, M. P. Chipperfield, D. Cugnet, M. Deushi, S. S. Dhomse, R. R. Garcia, A. Gettelman, N. P. Gillett, S. C. Hardiman, J. Jumelet, D. E. Kinnison, J.-F. Lamarque, F. Lott, M. Marchand, M. Michou, T. Nakamura, D. Olivié, T. Peter, D. Plummer, J. A. Pyle, E. Rozanov, D. Saint-Martin, J. F. Scinocca, K. Shibata, M. Sigmond, D. Smale, H. Teyssèdre, W. Tian, A. Voldoire, Y. Yamashita, Anthropogenic forcing of the Northern Annular Mode in CCMVal-2 models, J. Geophys. Res., 115, D00M03, doi:10.1029/2009JD013347, 2010.

J. C. Fyfe, N. P. Gillett, D. W. J. Thompson, Comparing variability and trends in observed and modelled global-mean surface temperature, Geophys. Res. Lett., 37, L16802, 2010.

K. M. Willett, P. D. Jones, P. W. Thorne, N. P. Gillett, A comparison of large scale changes in surface humidity over land in observations and CMIP3 general circulation models, Environ. Res. Lett., 5(2), 025210, 2010.

P. A. Stott, N. P. Gillett, G. C. Hegerl, D. J. Karoly, D. A. Stone, X. Zhang, F. Zwiers, Detection and attribution of climate change: A regional perspective, Wiley Interdiscip. Rev. Clim. Change, 1, 192-211.

A. Yu. Karpechko, N. P. Gillett, B. Hassler, K. H. Rosenlof, E. Rozanov, Quantitative assessment of Southern Hemisphere ozone in chemistry-climate model simulations, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 10, 1385-1400, 2010.

J. A. Screen, N. P. Gillett, A. Yu. Karpechko, D. P. Stevens, Mixed Layer Temperature Response to the Southern Annular Mode: Mechanisms and Model Representation, J. Clim., 23, 664-678, 2010.

2009

N. P. Gillett, P. A. Stott, Attribution of anthropogenic influence on seasonal sea level pressure, Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L23709, doi:10.1029/2009GL041269, 2009.

J. Austin, R. J. Wilson, H. Akiyoshi, S. Bekki, C. Claud, V. I. Fomichev, P. Forster, R. R. Garcia, N. P. Gillett, P. Keckhut, U. Langematz, E. Manzini, T. Nagashima, W. J. Randel, E. Rozanov, K. Shibata, K. P. Shine, H. Struthers, D. W. J. Thompson, F. Wu, S. Yoden, Coupled chemistry climate model simulations of stratospheric temperatures and their trends for the recent past, Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L13809, doi: 10.1029/2009GL038462, 2009.

B. D. Santer, K. E. Taylor, P. J. Gleckler, C. Bonfils, T. P. Barnett, D. W. Pierce, T. M. L. Wigley, C. Mears, F. J. Wentz, W. Brüggermann, N. P. Gillett, S. A. Klein, S. Solomon, P. A. Stott, M. F. Wehner, Incorporating model quality information in climate change detection and attribution studies, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 106, 14778-14783, doi:10.1073/pnas.0901736106, 2009.

A. Yu. Karpechko, N. P. Gillett, G. J. Marshall, J. A. Screen, Climate impacts of the Southern Annular Mode simulated by the CMIP3 models, J. Clim., 22, 3751-3768, 2009.

H. D. Matthews, N. P. Gillett, P. A. Stott, K. Zickfeld, The proportionality of global warming to cumulative carbon emissions, Nature, 459, 829-832, 2009.

J. A. Screen, N. P. Gillett, D. P. Stevens, G. J. Marshall, H. K. Roscoe, The role of eddies in the Southern Ocean temperature response to the Southern Annular Mode, J. Clim., 22, 806-818, 2009.

N. P. Gillett, J. F. Scinocca, D. A. Plummer, M. C. Reader, Sensitivity of climate to dynamically-consistent zonal asymmetries in ozone, Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L10809, xdoi:10.1029/2009GL037246, 2009.

W. J. Randel, K. P. Shine, J. Austin, J. Barnett, C. Claud, N. P. Gillett, P. Keckhut, U. Langematz, R. Lin, C. Long, C. Mears, A. Miller, J. Nash, D. J. Seidel, D. W. J. Thompson, F. Wu, S. Yoden, An update of observed stratospheric temperature trends, J. Geophys. Res., 114, D02107, doi:10.1029/2008JD010421, 2009.

2008

N. P. Gillett, D. A. Stone, P. A. Stott, T. Nozawa, A. Yu. Karpechko, G. C. Hegerl, M. F. Wehner, P. D. Jones, Attribution of polar warming to human influence, Nature Geoscience, 1, 750-754, doi:10.1038/ngeo338, 2008.

A. Yu. Karpechko, N. P. Gillett, G. J. Marshall, A. A. Scaife, Stratospheric influence on circulation changes in the Southern Hemisphere troposhpere in coupled climate models, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L20806, doi:10.1029/2008GL035354, 2008.

K. M. Willett, P. D. Jones, N. P. Gillett, P. W. Thorne, Recent changes in surface humidity: Development of the HadCRUH dataset, J. Clim., 21, 5364-5383. 2008.

J. Overland, J. Turner, J. Francis, N. P. Gillett, G. J. Marshall, M. Tjernstrom, The Arctic and Antarctic: Two faces of climate change, EOS, 89, 177, 2008.

N. P. Gillett, P. A. Stott, B. D. Santer, Attribution of cyclonogenesis region sea surface temperature change to anthropogenic influence, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L09707, doi:10.1029/2008GL033670, 2008.

J. A. Crook, N. P. Gillett, S. P. E. Keeley, Sensitivity of Southern Hemisphere climate to zonal asymmetry in ozone, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L07806, doi:10.1029/2007GL032698, 2008.

C. Le Quéré, C. Rödenbeck, E. T. Buitenhuis, T. L. Conway, R. Langenfelds, A. Gomez, C. Labsucchagne, M. Ramonet, T. Nakazawa, N. Metzl, N. P. Gillett, M. Heinmann, Response to comments on "Saturation of the Southern Ocean CO2 sink due to recent climate change", Science, 319, 570c, 2008.

D. Maraun, T. Osborn, N. P. Gillett, United Kingdom daily precipitation intensity: Improved early data, error estimates, and an update to 2006, Int. J. Climatol., 28, 833-842, doi:10.1002/joc.1672, 2008.

2007

S. P. E. Keeley, N. P. Gillett, D. W. J. Thompson, S. Solomon, P. M. de F. Forster, Is Antarctic climate most sensitive to ozone depletion in the mid or lower stratosphere? Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, doi:10.1029/2007GL031238, 2007.

J. G. Canadell, C. Le Quéré, M. R. Raupach, C. B. Field, E. T. Buitenhuis, P. Ciais, T. J. Conway, N. P. Gillett, R. A. Houghton, G. Marland, Contributions to accelerating atmospheric CO2 growth from economic activity, carbon intensity, and efficiency of natural sinks, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., doi:10.1073/pnas.0702737104, 2007.

K. M. Willett, N. P. Gillett, P. D. Jones, P. W. Thorne, Attribution of observed surface humidity changes to human influence, Nature, 449, 710-712, 2007.

D. Santer, C. Mears, F. J. Wentz, K. E. Taylor, P. J. Gleckler, T. M. L. Wigley, T. P. Barnett, J. S. Boyle, W. Brüggemann, N. P. Gillett, S. A. Klein, D. W. Pierce, P. A. Stott, W. M. Washington, M. F. Wehner, Identification of human-induced changes in atmospheric moisture content, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 104, 15248-15253, 2007.

X. Zhang, F. W. Zwiers, G. C. Hegerl, F. H. Lambert, N. P. Gillett, S. Solomon, P. A. Stott, T. Nozawa, Detection of human influence on 20th century precipitation trends, Nature, 448, 461-465, 2007.

C. Le Quéré, C. Rödenbeck, E. T. Buitenhuis, T. L. Conway, R. Langenfelds, A. Gomez, C. Labsucchagne, M. Ramonet, T. Nakazawa, N. Metzl, N. P. Gillett, M. Heinmann, Saturation of the Southern Ocean CO2 sink due to recent climate change, Science, 316, 1735-1738, 2007.

H. Dang, N. P. Gillett, A. J. Weaver, F. W. Zwiers, Climate change detection over different land surface vegetation classes, Int. J. Climatol., 27, 211-220, 2007.

2006

M. R. Allen, N. P. Gillett, J. A. Kettleborough, G. C. Hegerl, R. Schnur, P. A. Stott, G. Boer, C. Covey, T. L. Delworth, G. S. Jones, J. F. B. Mitchell, T. P. Barnett, Quantifying anthropogenic influence on recent near-surface temperature change, Surv. Geophys., 27, 491-544, 2006.

N. P. Gillett, T. D. Kell, P. D. Jones, Regional climate impacts of the Southern Annular Mode, Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L23704, doi:10.1029/2006GL027721, 2006.

G. C. Hegerl, T. R. Karl, M. R. Allen, N. L. Bindoff, N. P. Gillett, D. J. Karoly, X. Zhang, F. W. Zwiers, Climate change detection and attribution: Beyond mean temperature signals, J. Clim., 19, 5058-5077, 2006.

B. D. Santer, T. M. L. Wigley, P. J. Gleckler, C. Bonfils, M. F. Wehner, K. AchutaRao, T. P. Barnett, J. S. Boyle, W. Bruggermann, M. Fiorino, N. P. Gillett, J. E. Hansen, P. D. Jones, S. A. Klein, G. A. Meehl, S. C. B. Raper, R. W. Reynolds, K. E. Taylor, W. M. Washington, Forced and unforced ocean temperature changes in Atlantic and Pacific tropical cylonogenesis regions, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 103(38), 13905-13910, 2006.

2005

N. P. Gillett, R. J. Allan, T. J. Ansell, Detection of external influence on sea level pressure with a multi-model ensemble, Geophys. Res. Lett., 32(19), L19714, doi:10.1029/2005GL023640, 2005.

N. P. Gillett, Northern Hemisphere circulation, Nature, 437, 496, 2005.

F. H. Lambert, N. P. Gillett, D. A. Stone, C. Huntingford, Attribution studies of observed land precipitation changes with nine coupled models, Geophys. Res. Lett., 32(18), L18704, doi:10.1029/2005GL023654, 2005.

T. Barnett, F. W. Zwiers, G. C. Hegerl, M. R. Allen, T. Crowley, N.P. Gillett, K. Hasselmann, P. Jones, B. Santer, R. Schnur, P. A. Stott, K. Taylor, S. F. B. Tett, Detecting and attributing external influences on the climate system: A review of recent advances, J. Clim., 18, 1291-1314, 2005.

2004

N. P. Gillett, B. D. Santer, A. J. Weaver, Stratospheric cooling and the troposphere, Nature, doi:10.1038/nature03209, 2004.

N. P. Gillett, A. J. Weaver, F. W. Zwiers, M. D. Flannigan, Detecting the effect of climate change on Canadian forest fires, Geophys. Res. Lett., 31(18), L18211, doi:10.1029/2004GL020876, 2004.

N. P. Gillett, M. F. Wehner, S. F. B. Tett, A. J. Weaver, Testing the linearity of the response to combined greenhouse gas and sulfate aerosol forcing, Geophys. Res. Lett., 31(14), L14201, doi:10.1029/2004GL020111, 2004.

N. P. Gillett, A. J. Weaver, F. W. Zwiers, M. F. Wehner, Detection of volcanic influence on global precipitation, Geophys. Res. Lett., 31(12), L12217, doi:10.1029/2004GL020044, 2004.

H. D. Matthews, A. J. Weaver, K. J. Meissner, N. P. Gillett, M. Eby, Natural and anthropogenic climate change: incorporating historical land cover change, vegetation dynamics and the global carbon cycle, Clim. Dyn., 22, 461-479, 2004.

2003

N. P. Gillett, H. F. Graf, T. J. Osborn, Climate change and the NAO. Chapter 9, The North Atlantic Oscillation, Eds. J. Hurrell, Y.Kushnir, G. Ottersen and M. Visbeck, American Geophysical Union, Washington, DC, 193-209, 2003.

N. P. Gillett, D. W. J. Thompson, Simulation of recent Southern Hemisphere climate change, Science, 302, 273-275, 2003.

M. P. Baldwin, D. W. J. Thompson, E. F. Shuckburgh, W. A. Norton, N. P. Gillett, Weather from the stratosphere? (Invited), Science, 301, 317-319, 2003.

N. P. Gillett, F. W. Zwiers, A. J. Weaver, P. A. Stott, Detection of human influence on sea level pressure, Nature, 422, 292-294, 2003.

N. P. Gillett, M. R. Allen, K. D. Williams, Modelling the atmospheric response to doubled CO2 and depleted stratospheric ozone using a stratosphere-resolving coupled GCM, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 129, 947-966, 2003.

2002

N. P. Gillett, F. W. Zwiers, A. J. Weaver, G. C. Hegerl, M. R. Allen, P. A. Stott, Detecting anthropogenic influence with a multi-model ensemble, Geophys. Res. Lett., 29(20), 1970, doi:10.1029/2002GL015836, 2002.

N. P. Gillett, M. R. Allen, K. D. Williams, The role of stratospheric resolution in simulating the Arctic Oscillation response to greenhouse gases, Geophys. Res. Lett., 29(10), doi:10.1029/2001GL014444, 2002.

N. P. Gillett, G. C. Hegerl, M. R. Allen, P. A. Stott, R. Schnur, Reconciling two approaches to the detection of anthropogenic influence on climate, J. Climate, 15, 326-329, 2002.

N. P. Gillett, M. R. Allen, R. E. McDonald, C. A. Senior, D. T. Shindell, G. A. Schmidt, How linear is the Arctic Oscillation response to greenhouse gases?, J. Geophys. Res., 107(D3), doi:10.1029/2001JD000589, 2002.

2001

N. P. Gillett, M. P. Baldwin, M. R. Allen, Evidence for nonlinearity in observed stratospheric circulation changes, J. Geophys. Res., 106(D8), 7891-7901, doi:10.1029/2000JD900720, 2001.

2000

N. P. Gillett, G. C. Hegerl, M. R. Allen, P. A. Stott, Implications of changes in the Northern Hemisphere circulation for the detection of anthropogenic climate change, Geophys. Res. Lett., 27(7), 993-996, doi:10.1029/1999GL010981, 2000.

N. P. Gillett, M. R. Allen, S. F. B. Tett, Modelled and observed variability in atmospheric vertical temperature structure, Clim. Dyn., 16, 49-61, 2000.