Dr. Chris Fogarty

Manager - Canadian Hurricane Centre Senior Research Meteorologist

Current research and/or projects

Responsible for the development, training and interpretation of specialized meteorological applications for weather forecasters in the Meteorological Service of Canada – including numerical weather models, weather observing satellites, website development and communication through workshops, seminars, training sessions and mentoring

  • Study of tropical meteorology and the affect of tropical cyclones on Canada
  • Work with the Canadian Hurricane Centre and the Canadian Meteorological Centre
  • Numerical weather model evaluations for forecasters
  • Development of new weather forecasting tools and software displays
  • Meteorological training of new technologies including weather satellites
  • Preparation and delivery of training material for forecasters
  • Scientific consultation on new technologies during storm events such as hurricanes
  • Maintain NovaWeather, a site containing links to many weather-related materials, as well as a showcase of personal research including aircraft data collected during flights into a handful of hurricanes that affected Eastern Canada

Professional activities / interests

Participation in international meetings and conferences related to hurricane forecasting and science

Member of many groups testing new software and numerical weather models

Reviewer for various scientific journals related to meteorology and oceanography

Mentor for graduate students at Dalhousie University

Education and awards

B.Sc., D.Met., M.Sc., Ph.D. - Dalhousie University

Graduate Student Prize (2006) from CMOS for my Ph.D. work at Dalhousie University

Key publications

Fogarty, C. T., 2010: Newfoundland’s Most Damaging Hurricane in 75 years: Preliminary Storm Summary. Canadian Meteor. and Oceanogr. Soc. Bul., 38(6), 209-217.

Fogarty, C. T., 2010: A probabilistic wind speed forecast product blending NHC TC-based fields with a dynamical model ensemble. 29th Conf. on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, 10-14 May, Tucson, AZ.

Toth, G., I. Gultepe, J. Milbrandt, B. Hansen, G. Pearson, C. Fogarty, and W. Burrows, 2010: The Environment Canada Handbook on Fog and Fog Forecasting. Environment Canada, 117 pp.

Mecking, J. V., C. T. Fogarty, R. J. Greatbatch, J. Sheng and D. Mercer. 2009. Using atmospheric model output to simulate the meteorological tsunami response to Tropical Storm Helene (2000). J. Geophys. Res., 114:C10005doi:10.1029/2009JC005290.

Fogarty, C.T., R.J. Greatbatch and H. Ritchie. 2007. The use of a vortex insertion technique to simulate the extratropical transition of Hurricane Michael (2000). Wea. and Forecasting, 22:480-500.

Fogarty, C.T., R.J. Greatbatch and H. Ritchie. 2006. The role of anomalously warm sea surface temperatures on the intensity of Hurricane Juan (2003) during its approach to Nova Scotia. Mon. Wea. Rev.,134:1484-1504.

Fogarty, C.T. and J.R. Gyakum. 2005. A study of extratropical transition in the western North Atlantic Ocean, 1963-1996. Atmosphere-Ocean, 43(2):173-191.

Jones, D. and C.T. Fogarty. 2005. The acoustic heartbeat of Hurricane Juan. Acous. Res. Letters Online - J. of the Acous. Soc. of Amer. 6(2):85-91.

Abraham, J., W. Strapp, C.T. Fogarty and M. Wolde. 2004. Extratropical transition of Hurricane Michael: An aircraft investigation. Bul. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 85:1323-1339.

Ma, S., H. Ritchie, J.R. Gyakum, J. Abraham, C.T. Fogarty and R. McTaggart-Cowan. 2003. A study of the extratropical reintensification of former Hurricane Earl using Canadian Meteorological Centre regional analyses and ensemble forecasts. Mon. Wea. Rev., 131:1342-1359.

To view a complete listing of Chris's publications, including the most recent, please visit NovaWeather.